S&P 500 futures were relatively unchanged on Friday, a day after the major averages rose following Wednesday’s first Federal Reserve interest rate hike in three years. Futures tied to the broad market index gained 0.1%, and Nasdaq-100 futures were up by 0.3%. Dow Jones Industrial Average futures shed 44 points, or 0.1%. U.S. markets are coming off a positive session. The Dow Jones Industrial Average closed higher by 316 points, or 0.6%. The S&P 500 rallied 1.1%, while the Nasdaq Composite jumped 1.7%. Stocks posted a comeback one day after the Fed’s decision to raise rates by a quarter percentage point—with the suggestion of at least one more rate increase this year—drove major market averages lower Wednesday. But Thursday’s rally—especially in technology stocks—implies many investors are looking past the prospect of a higher-for-longer rate, or inflation, environment, and returning instead to an artificial intelligence story that should continue to bolster corporate profits. “At some point, all cycles end,” Brian Levitt, chief global market strategist at Invesco, told CNBC’s “Closing Bell.” “This one, I don’t think it’s going to end with the higher Fed funds rate necessarily anytime soon, or higher oil prices. It’s going to end when something breaks in the AI trade, when, again, a hyperscaler pulls back on investment, or the market deems the amount of investment to be overdone compared to the expected return on invested capital. But that’s not the current environment that we’re in.” The week concludes Friday with more commentary from Fed officials. Fed Governor Michelle Bowman, a permanent voting member of the policy-setting Federal Open Market Committee, and Kansas City Fed President Jeffrey Schmid, a non-voting member, are set to speak. Investors will look for greater clarity into policymakers’ thinking behind Wednesday’s unanimous vote for an interest rate hike. The major stock averages are on pace for a mixed week. As of Thursday’s close, the Dow Jones Industrial Average was down by 1.5% this week, on track for a third straight losing week. The S&P 500 was also lower week-to-date, by 0.3%. Only the tech-heavy Nasdaq Composite was set to enter Friday’s trading, showing weekly gains, up 0.3%. In his monthly investment note, sent to clients on Thursday, Mark Haefele, chief investment officer at UBS Global Wealth Management, said his team expects the equity rally to continue over the next six to 12 months. “Of course, rate hikes will not produce more oil or chips, and rising government debt will complicate the outlook,” he said. “But we have learned over the years that investors should not automatically assume that geopolitical shocks will cause lasting market weakness or that debt challenges will affect every asset negatively. With earnings growth still strong and lower inference costs stimulating AI adoption, we believe the fundamental supports for the rally remain intact.” Treasury yields were mixed on Friday morning, as investors continued to look for clues on the trajectory of monetary policy. The yield on the benchmark 10-year Treasury was flat at 4.951% as of 4:45 a.m. ET. Yields on the 2-year Treasury note were up almost 2 basis points to 4.707%, while 30-year Treasury yields fell 1 basis point to trade at 5.286%. In Asia, Japan’s Nikkei 225 closed 1.38% higher, while South Korea’s Kospi rose 2.66%. Mainland China’s CSI 300 closed 1.06% higher. Australia’s benchmark S&P/ASX 200 was flat. Oil prices fell on Friday as investors weighed fresh strikes between Saudi Arabia and Yemen’s Iran-backed Houthis against signs that additional Saudi crude could reach global markets and help ease supply concerns. International benchmark Brent crude futures with November expiry were last seen down 2.2% to $102.57 per barrel, on track for a third consecutive session of losses. U.S. West Texas Intermediate futures fell 1.9% to $100.05, having briefly dipped below $100. Gold rose for a second straight session on Friday, hitting a one-week high, as oil prices fell, while investors kept a close watch on developments in the Middle East conflict. Spot gold was up 1.1% at $4,387.69 per ounce and was on track for a weekly gain of 1%. U.S. gold futures rose 0.6% to $4,428. “The precious metal appears to have taken the Fed’s hawkish signals in stride, instead finding immediate relief from falling oil prices amid hopes that the Fed’s hiking cycle will prove shallow,” said Han Tan, chief market analyst at Bybit. Although gold is traditionally viewed as a hedge against inflation, higher rates can curb its demand by increasing the appeal of yield-bearing assets.
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