This week, the Federal Reserve takes center stage. The U.S. central bank is expected to cut rates again on Wednesday, and remarks from Fed Chair Jerome Powell could shed light on the Fed’s plans for 2026. U.S. stock indexes posted modest gains last week, with the Nasdaq leading the way higher. Market watchers will also be following earnings reports from companies including Oracle, Broadcom, GameStop, Costco, Adobe, and AutoZone. Trade deficit data, jobless claims, and the latest update on the federal government budget are due as well.
Investors Watching for Fed Interest Rate Cut
The Federal Open Market Committee will hold its final meeting of the year, and many market watchers expect the central bank to cut interest rates Wednesday for a third straight time. Investors are expecting rates to drop to the 3.5% to 3.75% level, even as the debate continues over whether the central bank should move borrowing costs lower while inflation remains above the Fed’s target. Fed officials will be making their decision without a full set of economic data to review, as economic reports are still delayed after the government shutdown. Fed officials won’t have the latest jobs report due to the data delays, but worries about the labor market are expected to push the central bank to cut interest rates again. Fed Chair Jerome Powell will hold a post-meeting press conference, where he is expected to lay out the central bank’s views on the economy, job market, and inflation. His comments could provide guidance on how the Fed will treat interest rates at its next meeting in late January.
Tech, Retail Earnings Highlight Corporate Calendar
A handful of corporate earnings reports are likely to draw attention from investors as the spotlight remains on artificial intelligence. Oracle reports on Wednesday. Its stock price plunged in November over concerns that the software firm was taking on too much debt to fund its AI infrastructure buildout. Also reporting is AI chipmaker Broadcom, whose share price has risen on optimism over its relationship with Google-parent Alphabet, a major purchaser of its chips. Graphics software maker Adobe’s Wednesday report will provide more insight into its AI sales despite a drop in the company’s stock price.
Several noteworthy retailers are also on the schedule. Costco’s report on Thursday may shed light on how tariffs are affecting the retailer, which recently announced it was suing the Trump administration over its trade policies. AutoZone’s report will highlight the company’s profit levels, which missed analyst expectations in the prior quarter as it raised spending to build out more stores.
What analysts are saying about U.S. stocks
Morgan Stanley: “We see outperformance continuing for the most out of consensus upgrades we made in our outlook—Consumer Discretionary Goods and Small Caps. Into 2026, we expect a broadening in leadership, strong earnings and Fed cuts based on lagging/moderate labor market weakness.”
Wolfe Research: “We remain bullish on stocks expecting U.S. equity markets to be up 11% in 2026 as AI spending stays strong, U.S. Real GDP grows 2.5%+, the Fed continues its cutting cycle (3 cuts in ’26), and fiscal stimulus, along with the wealth effect, supports a pick-up in spending. To be sure, this all sounds too good to be true, and we expect several violent rotations in ‘26 with the potential for a choppy start to the year as markets run hot in late 2025. The biggest risk remains a major disappointment/permanent shift in sentiment on AI.”
JPMorgan: “We believe that the dovish Fed will remain a medium-term support for equities, but there could be some travel and arrive post this week’s event, given that the cut is now fully in the price, and equities are back to highs, therefore investors might be tempted to lock in the gains into year end, rather than be adding directional exposure.”
Raymond James: “The Federal Reserve is expected to cut by 25 bps this week, with the market likely reacting to whether it’s perceived as a “dovish cut”, meaning more to come in 1Q26, or a “hawkish cut”, meaning a definitive pause until economic data weakens further.